Bostonians are bombarded with talk of a “real estate downturn”, the buzz around town is that Buyers want to take advantage of the real estate crisis, sometimes we hear that prices are falling, and foreclosures are being touted as a widespread epidemic.
However, in the core of downtown Boston:
- There’s no real estate downturn
- Boston city center real estate is not in the middle of a real estate crisis
- Prices are not falling, but appreciating, in downtown Boston
- There are little to no foreclosures in downtown Boston
What do we mean by “downtown Boston”? Simply put, it’s the neighborhoods that make up the core of the city: Back Bay, South End, Beacon Hill, West End, North End, Waterfront, Financial District, Midtown, Leather District, northern South Boston, and the Seaport District. Oftentimes, generalizations are made about what “Boston” actually encompasses, and Boston is inaccurately lumped into state-level Massachusetts information, skewing the public’s perception of the real story.
Does it matter that distinctions are made between downtown Boston, the suburbs, the state of Massachusetts, and the US, when talking about the status of the real estate market? On many levels, yes. Sellers need to know that they can still sell and make a profit, Buyers need to know that they are still going to have to pay a premium for living in the city center, and everyone needs to know that the downtown Boston real estate market is much more stable than the majority of news stories would have you believe.
Kevin Ahearn puts together yearly statistics for downtown Boston real estate, representing a broader scale of neighborhoods than we alluded to above, and he displays a 5.74% appreciation in average Boston condo prices in 2007 over 2006. Additionally, to take a specific South End neighborhood example, we see both average and median home prices continuing to rise. The city center is much different than the rest of the state, or the country for that matter, and these statistics demonstrate that.
Across the USA, foreclosures are indeed up in numbers, however, there is by no means an epidemic of foreclosures in the city of Boston. Take, for instance, a recent foreclosure map that John Keith put together that provided a visual representation of where foreclosures are cropping up in Boston. One might think that there are tens of foreclosures all across the city. There was 1 foreclosure in downtown Boston at the time of this writing, at 25 Channel Center. A single foreclosure is far from an epidemic.
We aren’t trying to put a “positive Realtor spin” on these messages. Truth be told, there are many towns, cities, and even states that are experiencing falling prices, and significant foreclosure numbers. However, mass generalizations that liken downtown Boston to the state of Massachusetts, or the country for that matter, paint an inaccurate picture. More accuracy and attention to detail needs to be practiced when citing real estate statistics – real estate is local. Bottom line, according to the data available, downtown Boston real estate is doing just fine.