Perfect Time to Buy or Sell

Trying to “time the market”? Why not buy or sell now – and move on with your life instead? Don’t perpetually wait until tomorrow. If you do, you’re likely to end up with a pile of unfulfilled yesterdays!

Sellers: If you currently own a home, you are fortunate to be in the market and “treading water” with every other home owner. In other words, even though the value of your home has taken a hit in the past few years, so have the prices of other homes you may wish to consider buying – whether you plan to “buy up” to a more expensive property, or downsize to simplify your life. Conversely, if you wait until the value of your home increases again (and it will, according to historic real state trends, albeit slowly over the next 10 years according to many economists), the price of a home you may wish to purchase will likely have increased commensurately. Everything is relative. So, confidently sell and buy again in today’s market – since you’re lucky enough to be “in the game”.

Buyers: Home affordability is substantially greater than it has been in many years. This has been reflected in the uptick of sales throughout the summer. Sales of existing homes rose 7.2% nationally between June and July 2009, and 5% compared to July 2008 – the largest monthly increase in sales since 1999.

Locally, home prices are hitting or have hit bottom in some Boston neighborhoods, and have already started to rebound in others. Let’s take a close look at two of the most popular “upscale” neighborhoods where my practice is largely concentrated: the Back Bay and the South End.

Back Bay prices never really dropped substantially, and the average sales price is – remarkably – higher than it has ever been. A comparison between the second quarter of 2008 and the second quarter of 2009 reveals that the average sale price rose nearly 2%. A similar comparison in the South End shows that the average sales price remained virtually flat. In other words, the South End has “bottomed out”. My hunch is that the Q3 2009 results will be even more stellar.

If you are a prospective first-time home buyer, jump in now! If you’ve been sitting on the fence regarding a home purchase, now is the time. Smart buyers have bought during the spring and summer, and more are buying now. These folks are not waiting until they are completely satisfied that it’s “safe” to buy because “everyone else” is buying – because by then prices will have likely increased in the South End and other desirable sought-after neighborhoods. The problem with timing the market is that changes have often already occurred by the time one is satisfied that they have, and one can end up being left behind. Don’t follow the pack, be a leader instead. Unless you believe your job security is in jeopardy, you’ll be glad you did.

Current 30-year fixed rates are hovering in the 5 percent range – an excellent value. Can you predict what interest rates will look like six months to a year from now? If you can, clue us all in! That said, the current challenge lies in getting a mortgage in the first place. I advise my buyers to first check their credit reports from all three services: Experian, Equifax and Transunion, because it is not uncommon to find that each has different data. Checking all three ensures that inaccuracies are addressed in full, and should be done prior to applying for a mortgage. A credit score in the mid to upper 600’s is no longer acceptable to obtain a mortgage, or a mortgage at an attractive interest rate.

My next piece of advice is to avoid doing business in the near future with national banks and other national lenders if at all possible. There is nothing wrong with these fine institutions per se. The problem is that, in its infinite wisdom, the Federal Government went a bit overboard in trying to protect us from the predatory lending practices of the past that lead to the current housing foreclosure crisis (rarely found in the Back Bay or South End, by the way). The “new rules” now require national lenders to have homes appraised by folks who are not local, and therefore simply do not know or understand property values in our unique downtown Boston market.

Unfortunately, I’ve recently seen potential buyers (over whom I have no control if they are working with another Buyer’s Agent) have their closings outrageously delayed because several appraisals were necessary until one was finally accurate. In the worst case scenario, some properties do not appraise at fair market value at all due to this complete lack of local market knowledge. Until this situation changes, I believe buyers are better off working with local banks or local non-bank direct lenders that are allowed to use local appraisers, and have more control over the mortgages they issue because they have their own funds to lend to qualified buyers, as well as their own in-house underwriters. These lenders are less apt to sell their mortgages to Fanny Mae or Freddie Mac, which is the most frequent trigger for the required use of out-of-area appraisers for national lenders.

Accredited Buyer Representative (ABR) Basics

Many people tentatively commence their house hunting by picking up a local newspaper, searching through various web sites and randomly attending open houses. This “on my own” methodology can become frustrating once folks realize they’ve been wasting their valuable time viewing homes that may not fully meet their needs or fit their budget. Furthermore, open houses are managed by a real estate agent who, by law, represents only the seller’s best interests. The question is: who best represents the buyer?

Before you go house hunting in earnest, choose a Realtor® with an ABR® designation next to his or her name. This highly qualified real estate professional is specifically trained to represent you, the buyer. Since buying a home is probably the single most expensive and significant purchase you will make throughout your lifetime, it’s essential to have a top guide who will be your “project manager” to handle the many behind-the-scenes details through the closing process and beyond.

Working with an ABR gives a buyer a second set of very objective eyes. A buyer can easily fall in love with a property and unwittingly become blind-sided to its shortcomings. However, when an ABR takes a buyer out for private showings, he or she uncovers the not so obvious pros and cons of each property by posing a series of focused questions to the listing agent. Knowing the right questions to ask gives the buyer important information that can make the difference between buying the right home – versus making a significant, regrettable mistake.

An ABR’s services also include researching the prices of comparable properties to determine whether a home is overpriced for current market conditions – which have been rapidly changing rapidly throughout the past few years – month by month! An ABR then negotiates a purchase price in your favor, coordinates a thorough home inspection (sometimes leading to additional negotiations), assists in finding an attorney, facilitates financing through a reputable lender, and handles every last detail to ensure that all goes smoothly toward a successful, on-time closing. Success is carefully planned!

Bottom line: you wouldn’t think of going on a safari without a guide. The same holds true for house hunting. Because it’s often the “unseen things” that cause the biggest problems, it’s smart to have a great guide who knows what to look for every step of the way.